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Why No 10’s Covid-19 death toll slides don’t tell the whole story

Why No 10’s Covid-19 death toll slides don’t tell the whole story

Charts are regular feature of daily press briefing but there is little scrutiny of data

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As the UK’s official death toll from Covid-19 passed Italy’s for the first time, it is worth noting that one month ago, government sources were privately sceptical of a study by world-leading disease data analysts that projected the UK would be the worst-affected country in Europe. The study anticipated 66,000 deaths by August. The total figure on Tuesday, which is certain to be an underestimate, was already more than 32,000.

Related: UK coronavirus death toll rises above 32,000 to highest in Europe

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